05-06-2013 23:36 - edited 05-06-2013 23:37
05-06-2013 23:36 - edited 05-06-2013 23:37
If you haven't heard of this, then don't Google it - just read through it and see if you follow
If you are on a game show, and there are 3 doors; A, B and C. I tell you that afancy sports car is behind one of the doors, and behind the other two is nothing, which door would you pick?
Now, if I tell you that the door to the right of your chosen door (or the far left, if you chose the far right) hasnothing behind it, that means that only your door and one other are unknown. Do you wish to keep your original door or switch for the other door?
on 06-06-2013 13:55
@MI5 wrote:
It can never be a 50/50 chance with 3 variables in play. It doesn't matter which way you dress the question it's just basic stats......
How can there be 3 variables when you have discounted one when you made your original choice? - my head hurts now, going back to work
06-06-2013 13:56 - edited 06-06-2013 13:58
06-06-2013 13:56 - edited 06-06-2013 13:58
See here for a good explanation:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem